GDT 7/1

[nsacpi]

I have no idea how we'll play in July. We could go 0-for, above .500, or anything in between. I do know that all the definitive statements here about a July collapse were the same ones that said we were headed to the 1st pick when FF got hurt. A lot of you were wrong then and you just might be again

Playoff odds are low. 3% according to both BP and FG.

There are some reasons to believe that the team's baseline has shown some modest improvement since the start of the season. We have improved the bench. The first half performances of Freeman, Inciarte and Flowers all suggest that we should expect more out of them going forward than was the case at the start of the season. Partial offset from what we've seen from Teheran. I think we'll play at an 80-85 win pace in the second half. Would not state it in terms of absolutes. There is always uncertainty. Luck, injuries, etc.

If Colorado continues to slide we could be playing meaningful games in September. The gnats have been looking shaky too. I think there is something psychologically fragile about them.

 

[msstate7]

Sat, Jul 1 @ 4:05 PM Oakland

Sun, Jul 2 @ 4:05 PM Oakland

Tue, Jul 4 vs 7:35 PM Houston

Wed, Jul 5 vs 7:35 PM Houston

Thu, Jul 6 @ 7:05 PM Washington

Fri, Jul 7 @ 7:05 PM Washington

Sat, Jul 8 @ 4:05 PM Washington

Sun, Jul 9 @ 1:35 PM Washington

Fri, Jul 14 vs 7:35 PM Arizona

Sat, Jul 15 vs 7:10 PM Arizona

Sun, Jul 16 vs 1:35 PM Arizona

Mon, Jul 17 vs 7:35 PM Cubs

Tue, Jul 18 vs 7:35 PM Cubs

Wed, Jul 19 vs 12:10 PM Cubs

Thu, Jul 20 @ 10:10 PM LA Dodgers

Fri, Jul 21 @ 10:10 PM LA Dodgers

Sat, Jul 22 @ 9:10 PM LA Dodgers

Sun, Jul 23 @ 4:10 PM LA Dodgers

Mon, Jul 24 @ 9:40 PM Arizona

Tue, Jul 25 @ 9:40 PM Arizona

Wed, Jul 26 @ 3:40 PM Arizona

Fri, Jul 28 @ 7:05 PM Philadelphia

Sat, Jul 29 @ 7:05 PM Philadelphia

Sun, Jul 30 @ 1:35 PM Philadelphia

Mon, Jul 31 @ 12:35 P Philadelphia

Thanks MLB for that 11 game, west to east road trip to close out July

 

[msstate7]

Playoff odds are low. 3% according to both BP and FG.

There are some reasons to believe that the team's baseline has shown some modest improvement since the start of the season. We have improved the bench. The first half performances of Freeman, Inciarte and Flowers all suggest that we should expect more out of them going forward than was the case at the start of the season. Partial offset from what we've seen from Teheran. I think we'll play at an 80-85 win pace in the second half.

I don't think we'll make the playoffs. TBH, I'll be thrilled to finish where we are right now right at or right about .500

 

[nsacpi]

Sat, Jul 1 @ 4:05 PM Oakland
Sun, Jul 2 @ 4:05 PM Oakland
Tue, Jul 4 vs 7:35 PM Houston
Wed, Jul 5 vs 7:35 PM Houston
Thu, Jul 6 @ 7:05 PM Washington
Fri, Jul 7 @ 7:05 PM Washington
Sat, Jul 8 @ 4:05 PM Washington
Sun, Jul 9 @ 1:35 PM Washington
Fri, Jul 14 vs 7:35 PM Arizona
Sat, Jul 15 vs 7:10 PM Arizona
Sun, Jul 16 vs 1:35 PM Arizona
Mon, Jul 17 vs 7:35 PM Cubs
Tue, Jul 18 vs 7:35 PM Cubs
Wed, Jul 19 vs 12:10 PM Cubs
Thu, Jul 20 @ 10:10 PM LA Dodgers
Fri, Jul 21 @ 10:10 PM LA Dodgers
Sat, Jul 22 @ 9:10 PM LA Dodgers
Sun, Jul 23 @ 4:10 PM LA Dodgers
Mon, Jul 24 @ 9:40 PM Arizona
Tue, Jul 25 @ 9:40 PM Arizona
Wed, Jul 26 @ 3:40 PM Arizona
Fri, Jul 28 @ 7:05 PM Philadelphia
Sat, Jul 29 @ 7:05 PM Philadelphia
Sun, Jul 30 @ 1:35 PM Philadelphia
Mon, Jul 31 @ 12:35 P Philadelphia

The team I fear on that list are the Phillies.

 

[msstate7]

The team I fear on that list are the Phillies.

Hellickson and Nola... I can't stand facing those 2

 

[nsacpi]

Hellickson and Nola... I can't stand facing those 2

We should trade for one of them...just so we don't have to face em

 

[bravesfanMatt]

We should trade for one of them...just so we don't have to face em

That will never work.. Colon had our number too.

 

[nsacpi]

That will never work.. Colon had our number too.

They don't have to pitch for us. Put them on the DL.

 

[thewupk]

Is 7.5 games really that much at the start of july when the team in front of you is the Rockies?

Braves pitching has improved and we are about to add Freeman to a struggling lineup. July will be tough but the Braves are actually improving as well.

It is when you have had the easiest schedule in baseball and will finally start playing good teams.

 

[thewupk]

I have no idea how we'll play in July. We could go 0-for, above .500, or anything in between. I do know that all the definitive statements here about a July collapse were the same ones that said we were headed to the 1st pick when FF got hurt. A lot of you were wrong then and you just might be again

You mean the same people that don't understand that at worst the team would be 2 games worse without Freeman? Some people just understand the value of certain players. One player just doesn't make that much of a difference in baseball.

 

[thewupk]

Sure, why not? If nothing else, I'll take a chance the cards win the central... currently 3.5 back. Mets playing better all-the-sudden too. What's the bet?

We can do a sig bet. Make it whatever you want.

 

[msstate7]

It is when you have had the easiest schedule in baseball and will finally start playing good teams.

I have no doubts we've played an easy schedule... perhaps even the easiest. I do think overall record can be deceiving determining toughest schedule. One of you stat guys should take the time to determine a better SOS formula. Perhaps .60 is overall record of opponents and .40 is opponents' 5 game record before series and 5 game record after series. I just think baseball is a lot about when you play someone.

Again, I'm not saying we've played a tough schedule

 

[nsacpi]

You mean the same people that don't understand that at worst the team would be 2 games worse without Freeman? Some people just understand the value of certain players. One player just doesn't make that much of a difference in baseball.

plus Adams conveniently enough went on a tear

 

[thewupk]

I have no doubts we've played an easy schedule... perhaps even the easiest. I do think overall record can be deceiving determining toughest schedule. One of you stat guys should take the time to determine a better SOS formula. Perhaps .60 is overall record of opponents and .40 is opponents' 5 game record before series and 5 game record after series. I just think baseball is a lot about when you play someone.

Again, I'm not saying we've played a tough schedule

I would agree with that. We may get some breaks here and there but to me it's fair to say we have had a really easy schedule so far and July is by far the toughest of the year. I think after July we will see the true standing of this team. Again if we are close to .500 after July I will be very impressed.

 

[thewupk]

plus Adams conveniently enough went on a tear

Indeed. Swanson started hitting better as well as I'm sure several other factors.

Baseball is a strange sport in that while it's highly individualized it does take a group effort to play well. Losing your star player in baseball has far less ramifications than losing your star player in basketball or your QB in football.

 

[msstate7]

We can do a sig bet. Make it whatever you want.

Sig bet is cool. May have to put 2 sigs though haha

 

[Enscheff]

So now the pozzies have talked themselves into the Braves being a WC contender?

 

[NinersSBChamps]

Sig bet is cool. May have to put 2 sigs though haha

What is the bet?

 

[bravesfanMatt]

So now the pozzies have talked themselves into the Braves being a WC contender?

Wait, I never stopped believing that.. no one has 'talked' me into anything. WS or bust baby!!

 

[bravesfanMatt]

What is the bet?

yeah, I can't keep up with them..