GDT 9/9/20 - Albies Returns

[clvclv]

Off topic but has anyone seen info about Acuna's little brother? He is or has already been close to signing time.

The one that's a SS in the Rangers' system and signed in 2018?

 

[PawPawMaxwell]

The one that's a SS in the Rangers' system and signed in 2018?

Dont know. Not long ago there were posts here showing a 15 year old's approach with the bat and how he resembled Ronald.

 

[Tapate50]

Maybe ya'll remember seeing Andruw Jones' son?

 

[Russ2dollas]

That's pretty much a RHH Jake Lamb, and it would be awesome if Riley maintained this progress.

I kept saying I never saw a case of someone improving their contact skill as much as Riley needed to (no real way to search it other than guess names and look), and now it looks like we might be seeing it happen in real time.

Cheap is an interesting word. He is in the last year of Arb next year. How much do we think he gets paid? 5 million a year? I would still consider that cheap.

 

[Russ2dollas]

The last 30 days for Austin

BB: 6.9%
K: 16.8%
ISO: .194
BABIP: .306

That puts his slash line at 280/337/473 - 113 WRC+

Now last 30 days is an arbitrary sample size number but that 16.8% K rate is significantly less than any monthly split he's had for it in his career so far.

Going forward my best guess right now would be for the BB% to stay the same, the K% to go up and the ISO to go up as well. With the end result somewhere in the ~110 WRC+ range.

I hope you are correct. That would be amazing.

 

[Tapate50]

Duvall is currently sporting a HR/FB rate of 27.7%. If maintained over a full 162 game season that would make him a Top 10 power hitter in all of baseball. Are people really being fooled yet again by unsustainable streaks? Or have we realized that Duvall is the same low OBP guy who relies on power output to be useful, and he is currently in the middle of an unsustainable stretch?

Of all Braves with 100+ PAs he is the most lucky hitter in terms of xwOBA (Riley is the unluckiest, and has made real improvements in 2020).

It's awesome that Duvall has run into a bunch of HRs the last month, but let's not get carried away here. He is definitely a good option for a cheap OF, but he's still the same guy he's been:

5.2% BB rate
28.1% K rate
94.5 mph EV on FB/LD (down from 97.1 in 2019)
53.4% FB rate

Literally nothing has changed other than the results in a 100 PA sample.

sure, but over the last two years Duvall would have averaged 45 hr over 162 played.

#STATS

 

[Tapate50]

Cheap is an interesting word. He is in the last year of Arb next year. How much do we think he gets paid? 5 million a year? I would still consider that cheap.

No way. Riley is in year 2 with probably not 160 games played. His salary is set for what the first 4 years? , then he gets arb.

 

[jpx7]

How can we tell if Duvall’s success versus righties is legit? If his righty success is the least bit real, have we found something pretty cool here?

I've been saying it for weeks, despite some folks' prognostications otherwise, but I think—at the very least—we can safely say Duvall will be tendered a contract next season (final arb).

 

[Russ2dollas]

No way. Riley is in year 2 with probably not 160 games played. His salary is set for what the first 4 years? , then he gets arb.

my fault. I meant to quote the conversation on Duvall. Duvall has one more year of arb and makes 3 million or so now.

 

[Tapate50]

my fault. I meant to quote the conversation on Duvall. Duvall has one more year of arb and makes 3 million or so now.

No worries dude. All good here.

No reason to say sorry.


Just don’t let it happen again.

 

[Tapate50]

my fault. I meant to quote the conversation on Duvall. Duvall has one more year of arb and makes 3 million or so now.

No worries dude. All good here.

No reason to say sorry.


Just don’t let it happen again.