Keith Law's Top 100 Prospect Rankings

Looks like FG is going to even higher on the Braves system:

12:44
Greg: How many Braves do you think will make your top-100?
12:44
Eric A Longenhagen: 8
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: In no particular order…Maitan, Acuna, Newcomb, Fried, Allard, Anderson, Swanson, Albies, Gohara
12:45
Eric A Longenhagen: That’s 9

Really surprising to me that they'll also have Gohara in the top 100. That move is looking better and better, though it obviously could still turn out poorly for us. The fact that we will have 9 top 100 guys that don't include Soroka or Touki is pretty exciting.
 
Really surprising to me that they'll also have Gohara in the top 100. That move is looking better and better, though it obviously could still turn out poorly for us. The fact that we will have 9 top 100 guys that don't include Soroka or Touki is pretty exciting.

for real. I loved Mallex and still think he has a good future. But to get a top 100 was not expected. MLB is the only list so far.
 
Really surprising to me that they'll also have Gohara in the top 100. That move is looking better and better, though it obviously could still turn out poorly for us. The fact that we will have 9 top 100 guys that don't include Soroka or Touki is pretty exciting.

And he has crazy amount of helium. Scouts love what they saw last year so if he turned the corner you are looking at yet another top flight arm.
 
And he has crazy amount of helium. Scouts love what they saw last year so if he turned the corner you are looking at yet another top flight arm.

yea if he's turned the corner you're looking at a big lefty with a potential ++ fastball and a good breaking ball. Sounds like he could be a high-leverage reliever at the least.
 
Do you believe that surplus value for an individual prospect is a valuable analysis? Are you not concerned with the extreme volitatily that is inherent with prospects?
 
Do you believe that surplus value for an individual prospect is a valuable analysis? Are you not concerned with the extreme volitatily that is inherent with prospects?

The volatility of prospect value is a given. That's why they are traded in packages for established MLB players. Why would something so thoroughly understood concern me?
 
Do you believe that surplus value for an individual prospect is a valuable analysis? Are you not concerned with the extreme volitatily that is inherent with prospects?

i would say there is useful information to be found in looking at the historical data for prospects in various ranking ranges...let's say we trade for a prospect ranked about 40...the historical record for prospects ranked around that point is a good starting point...it is not the end of the discussion but certainly should be part of it
 
i would say there is useful information to be found in looking at the historical data for prospects in various ranking ranges...let's say we trade for a prospect ranked about 40...the historical record for prospects ranked around that point is a good starting point...it is not the end of the discussion but certainly should be part of it

That's fair but I just think people tend to overlook that conclusions from statistics are drawn from immense sample sizes.
 
i would say there is useful information to be found in looking at the historical data for prospects in various ranking ranges...let's say we trade for a prospect ranked about 40...the historical record for prospects ranked around that point is a good starting point...it is not the end of the discussion but certainly should be part of it

Well. What is the historical data for 40. I have to know.
 
That's fair but I just think people tend to overlook that conclusions from statistics are drawn from immense sample sizes.

big samples are better than small samples...but sometimes all you have is a small sample and that can be useful as well
 
Because its that surplus value thinking that brought us the Olivera trade.

Even though he himself is not a baseball man Coppy is surrounded by many good baseball men within the Braves organization...and its ok for them to get it wrong once in a while...no need to blame surplus value thinking...leave the scapegoating to our leaderless feeler
 
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