Spring Training Gamethread/Discussion

Not if you have a good approach and CJ does. He uses the whole field.

And I still don't understand the bad defense argument. I must not understand the game of baseball because every time I watched him play he was solid.

He doesn't use more of the field than he did in 2012 when he hit .281.
 
He was 8th in MLB in LD% last year. So I think that bodes well for him this coming season. I think .300 is a realistic expectation from CJ.

Look at the BABIP for guys that had higher LD%:

.326
.328
.383
.333
.340
.359
.360
Johnson .394

And Johnson doesnt have the speed to explain that. Freddie Freeman was like 4th in the majors in LD% in 2012 and hit .259.

Johnson has always had a high LD%, career average of 25%; last year 27%.
 
Look at the BABIP for guys that had higher LD%:

.326
.328
.383
.333
.340
.359
.360
Johnson .394

And Johnson doesnt have the speed to explain that. Freddie Freeman was like 4th in the majors in LD% in 2012 and hit .259.

Johnson has always had a high LD%, career average of 25%; last year 27%.

So if he reverts to the norm that puts him close to .300. Obviously he could have bad luck, but I'm not sure that should be expected.
 
I think its optimistic to think he "will only hit .305."

Could he have improved as a hitter? Certainly, but he could improve as a hitter and see that BABIP fall way below .394.

The things we know about CJ is that he will walk 5% of the time and he will strike out 20% of the time. His power (isoslg) is going to be .125 to .150. These numbers for him are remarkably consistent and were consistent last year.

Hitting .300 in the majors is tough to do and in a lot of instances luck really does play a part of it.

If he doesn't have a .394 BABIP (which is not likely) and his BA drops to .280-.290; what are we left with? .285/.325/.420. That is pretty much spot on from what I expect of him. Certainly, that's not a bad offensively player, but for that type of production at the hot corner with bad defense; ehhhhhhhhhh you better put a lot of hope in him being able to defy 100 years of baseball saying he can't maintain that level of BABIP.

That's worse than his career averages across the board. That's what I am talking about. Just silly, really. You are saying he will have the second worst season of his career.
 
I'm still amazed by how people can say a guy that doesn't walk and k's more than 20% of the time has a "good approach". A lot more goes into your approach other than just hitting the ball to the opposite field...unless your subscribe to the Joe Simpson school of hitting...

Well I do in a way. Obviously I wish he walked more but I've been told there is nothing wrong with strikeouts, it's just another out right?

In any event hitting the ball where it's pitched instead of trying to pull the ball gives you more of a chance to be successful on the balls you do put in play.

I don't know why it's unreasonable to think he can hit 300 again. Even those of you who are very critical of him believe he'll hit at least 280. So how many more hits does he need to get to 300? Not that many.
 
I'm still amazed by how people can say a guy that doesn't walk and k's more than 20% of the time has a "good approach". A lot more goes into your approach other than just hitting the ball to the opposite field...unless your subscribe to the Joe Simpson school of hitting...

Tuition there seems to drop every year!!!

:roll::roll::roll:
 
Well I do in a way. Obviously I wish he walked more but I've been told there is nothing wrong with strikeouts, it's just another out right?

In any event hitting the ball where it's pitched instead of trying to pull the ball gives you more of a chance to be successful on the balls you do put in play.

I don't know why it's unreasonable to think he can hit 300 again. Even those of you who are very critical of him believe he'll hit at least 280. So how many more hits does he need to get to 300? Not that many.

And it isn't like this is the first time he hit over .300.
 
Well I do in a way. Obviously I wish he walked more but I've been told there is nothing wrong with strikeouts, it's just another out right?

In any event hitting the ball where it's pitched instead of trying to pull the ball gives you more of a chance to be successful on the balls you do put in play.

I don't know why it's unreasonable to think he can hit 300 again. Even those of you who are very critical of him believe he'll hit at least 280. So how many more hits does he need to get to 300? Not that many.

Strikeouts aren't good. But they're not the death. The whole strikeouts are another out debate came from the idea that strikeouts were terrible. As I said way back then. You want guys who K little and walk a lot, but they often don't exist very often and usually they're in the hall.

Johnson doesn't have a particularly great approach, that said he's a good hitter. Not as good as last year, but not terrible either.
 
That's worse than his career averages across the board. That's what I am talking about. Just silly, really. You are saying he will have the second worst season of his career.

That projection is better than both Steamer and zips. Not surprising with CJ playing much of his career in Houston and Arizona.
 
Breaking down the TUESDAY box

Some pitchers want to be taken seriously as their comrades continue to fall...

Teheran 4 IP, 0 H, 3 K ... no debate needed. He IS the ace of this staff now.

Varvaro 1 hitless inning (still 10.13 ERA this spring)

Gearrin 1 IP, 0 H, 1 K

Kimbrel 1 IP, 1 H, 2 BB, 1 ER

Servino 1 IP, win, but came out after one batter in 6th (matchup move?)

Heyward 2-2, BB, R (.379) is he dialed in or what???

Uggla 2-3, HR, RBI (.318)

Salcedo 1-2, 2 RBI, HR (.250)

Simmons 2-3, 2B, RBI

Schafer 1-3, 3B, 2 RBI

Cunningham 1-1, HR, 2 RBI (entered game as PR)

Gattis 1-4, 2B, R
 
Peter Gammons ‏@pgammo 5m

amidst Braves injuries, scouts rave about 26-yr. old RHP Juan Jaime, 97-100, signed @ minor league free agent
 
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