The 2018 Midterms

Framing these results as anything other than a repudiation of Trump and his (GOP) policies is delusional.

I mean results going back to the Ga-06. The seat to replace a (at the time) sitting cabinet member.

Even the (R) wins are less than up to Nov 2016 levels

Please bear in mind the 66M vs 63M so many of you poo poo.

Or the gerrymadered states where one party gets 60ish% of the vote but only 40ish% of the seats

No one knows what will happen in November and there is a political eternity between then and now
 
57Brave said:
Framing these results as anything other than a repudiation of Trump and his (GOP) policies is delusional.
I mean results going back to the Ga-06. The seat to replace a (at the time) sitting cabinet member.
Even the (R) wins are less than up to Nov 2016 levels

Please bear in mind the 66M vs 63M so many of you poo poo.
Or the gerrymadered states where one part gets 60ish% of the vote but only 40ish% of the seats
No one knows what will happen in November and there is a political eternity between then and now
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2018 midterms are gonna be a tsunami...i think the swing in the House will be over 70 seats
 
Jon Favreau
‏Verified account @jonfavs
2h2 hours ago

Conor Lamb campaigned:
1. For universal health care
2. Against Trump’s tax cut
3. For expanded background checks
4. For stronger unions
5. Against cuts to Social Security
6. For a woman’s right to choose
7. For medical marijuana

“Conservative Democrat.” Ok. Cool.
432 replies 6,369 retweets 24,819 likes
 
nsacpi said:
I am currently politically homeless. It is not the worst thing in the world. I don't see myself becoming a Democrat. I will bide my time and see if the Republican party returns to its senses. If not, I think something new will come up.
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Well there is a third party whose main platform is freedom.
 
Forever Fredi said:
In other words, he's a politician that knows his district.
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Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
 
It also helps with the incumbent hasn't been forced to resign (for having an affair with a woman and asking her to have an abortion).

That tends not to roll downhill well.
 
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thethe said:
Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
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or that there are moderate and more liberal democrats?

jokes tho. trump is the ultimate panderer. and he turned a 20 pt lead into a defeat.
according to paul ryan, trump closed the gap...that trump himself created. clowns.
 
Hawk said:
That number is skewed by a Gravis Marketing poll that had Saccone +3.

Gravis is ... horrible.

I'm referring to the last survey taken, by Monmouth: https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_pa_031218/
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Yes, I saw the Monmouth poll. I posted about it upthread.. Seems like cherry picking to choose that one, tbh. Trump's rally was on the 10th. The poll was taken from 8th-11th. Is your contention that it drove turnout for Saccone? I'm not sure I understand how this six-point special sauce worked.
 
thethe said:
Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
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Lamb is not going to vote for much, because his district is going to disappear before the midterms.
 
Julio3000 said:
Yes, I saw the Monmouth poll. I posted about it upthread.. Seems like cherry picking to choose that one, tbh. Trump's rally was on the 10th. The poll was taken from 8th-11th. Is your contention that it drove turnout for Saccone? I'm not sure I understand how this six-point special sauce worked.
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The Emerson poll taken at the beginning of March also shows movement toward Lamb. Whether it's a 2, 3, or 6 point bump is kinda irrelevant, imo. It's a significant bounce against late polling that was trending Saccone.
 
Julio3000 said:
Lamb is not going to vote for much, because his district is going to disappear before the midterms.
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Any vote is a data point to see which side is really on the side of the majority within the state. Easy to say you're for something but the voting is where it counts
 
Hawk said:
The Emerson poll taken at the beginning of March also shows movement toward Lamb. Whether it's a 2, 3, or 6 point bump is kinda irrelevant, imo. It's a significant bounce against late polling that was trending Saccone.
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But you chose 6. Got it.
 
thethe said:
Or that the Democrats are just a party of pandering and don't actually know what they stand for? If lamb votes the party line with the progressive agenda we will see how Pennsylvania reacts
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Most of them will never know. Waves are driven by increased enthusiasm on one side or the other driving higher turnout for that side. How informed do you think the voters who sat out the previous election are likely to be?
 
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