nsacpi
Expects Yuge Games
So well it’s curious how the top of the ticket went.
2020 vs 2016
presidential level: swing of 2.4% in presidential vote toward the Dems
House of Reps: 222 Dem seats in 2020 and 194 in 2016
Seems to be a fair amount of correspondence
Of course there was a very blue midterm election in 2018. We don't know how very poorly chosen one would have done in 2018. We can speculate. But that's it. However, we do have data showing a 2.4% swing toward the Dems at the presidential level from 2016 to 2020 and a 28 seat swing in House seats. Doesn't seem so mysterious.