Keith Law's Top 100 Prospect Rankings

Julio3000 said:
I think that take on Dansby is pretty spot on. And I'm inclined to think that that ceiling is more likely bet than the floor. FWIW, I also think he'll maintain a higher-than-average BABIP if his approach stays consistent. What I don't care for so much are the Jeter/Larkin comps.
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You think those are too lofty?

I mean, that would obviously be an absolute best-case, but I think it's at least possible he could get there. I think his defense will be better than Jeter's and relatively similar, though maybe a little below, Larkin's. I think he can be a pretty comparable offensive player to Larkin as well, though he probably won't reach Larkin's peak, which oddly came in his 30s.
 
smootness said:
You think those are too lofty?

I mean, that would obviously be an absolute best-case, but I think it's at least possible he could get there. I think his defense will be better than Jeter's and relatively similar, though maybe a little below, Larkin's. I think he can be a pretty comparable offensive player to Larkin as well, though he probably won't reach Larkin's peak, which oddly came in his 30s.
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I do think it's possible, if unlikely. Those are HoFers.
 
Julio3000 said:
I do think it's possible, if unlikely. Those are HoFers.
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The thing about those two is that they were consistently good. In Jeter's case he was a 3-4 WAR player that had a couple of superstar seasons sprinked in. And he just happened to do that for 20 years. I'm not going say HOF is in the future for Swanson but I think he will be that type of player in his prime. 3-4 WAR player who has a good all around game.
 
thewupk said:
The thing about those two is that they were consistently good. In Jeter's case he was a 3-4 WAR player that had a couple of superstar seasons sprinked in. And he just happened to do that for 20 years. I'm not going say HOF is in the future for Swanson but I think he will be that type of player in his prime. 3-4 WAR player who has a good all around game.
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Jeter was a great hitter for 15 years. We'd be real fortunate to get something close to that.
 
I've said it several times, but I'd be very ecstatic with consistent .280/.350 season. His swing is pretty, but you can definitely sense he'll have seasons where he'll strikeout more than he probably should.
 
smootness said:
But does their departure not indicate that the site may be worse now than it was before? I get that it indicates hiring practices that are well suited to getting knowledgeable guys, but all it really proves is that their information used to be put out by guys MLB wanted.

Law himself worked for both BP and an MLB team. Does that make BP better, or his own stuff? Or does it just prove he couldn't hack it in MLB?
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I just posted that it definitely made BP worse. The heart of FG is Cameron and Sillivan, and every indication they have given is that they value the flexibility their site gives them, and MLB teams don't pay enough to justify giving that up. I'm guessing they make a pretty good bit of coin over there, certainly enough that they don't need to chase other opportunities.

FG has also replaced their awful prospect guy Farnsworth with Longenhagen. In my opinion, he is easily the best prospect guy in the public sphere right now. He not only compiles reports on guys like the other prospect guys, but he is constantly out scouting these guys in person. There are very few top prospects he hasn't watched in person. He is a young guy with enough freedom to travel all over scouting, so I wouldn't be shocked at all if an MLB team snatches him up and he takes it.

FG will almost certainly lose their prospect guy to an MLB club, but Cameron and Sullivan are the heart and soul of what that site does well, and I don't think hey are going anywhere.
 
thewupk said:
A better comp is probably prime Jimmy Rollins without the steals.
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I always go back to Trammell as Swanson's comp. I think folks forget just how good he was becuase he never got any HOF attention. Career .285/.350/.415 hitter with a few AS seasons sprinkled in during his peak. He probably won't match Trammell's best season at age 29 when he went .343/.402/.551 with 28 Hrs, 21 SBs and 8+ WAR, but I could see Swanson topping the 20 HR mark once or twice.
 
Enscheff said:
I always go back to Trammell as Swanson's comp. I think folks forget just how good he was becuase he never got any HOF attention. Career .285/.350/.415 hitter with a few AS seasons sprinkled in during his peak. He probably won't match Trammell's best season at age 29 when he went .343/.402/.551 with 28 Hrs, 21 SBs and 8+ WAR, but I could see Swanson topping the 20 HR mark once or twice.
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I would take Trammell's prime in a heartbeat.

Better prime than Jeter or Larkin.
 
I would put Edgar Renteria out there as a likely comp. Swanson could end up being better but I think a Renteria-like career is the most probable. Renteria was more of a SB threat than Swanson will be but I think Swanson will have more pop.
 
I think Swanson is going to steal more bags than you would think. Overall I feel as if the braves will become more agrees I've on the basepaths.
 
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