Looking Ahead - The 2020 Offseason Thread

Not saying Riley is glaus in the making, but here's a comparison at equal PAs (Riley 458, glaus 462)

Riley/glaus
wOBA - .307 / .298
wRC - 87 / 70
BB% - 6.4 / 8.3
K% - 31.2 / 25.1
Iso - .176 / .150
Babip - .287 / .284

I mean no matter what...this is Riley’s year. He either takes off, or probably gets replaced at the deadline (assuming Lamb doesn’t make a valiant comeback).
 
i'm definitely in the boat that the rotation needed serious upgrading and not just in one spot, and i think AA got two of the better-bet starters available. i think going into the year with Wright or Wilson as your set #5 would be a failure, and i strongly prefer say $11M for Smyly than someone like Lester for $5M. i think with someone like Lester, while he'll give you innings, you know what you're going to get: an aging, clearly declining pitcher who's hovering around replacement level. with Smyly, i think there's still some upside based on his metrics last year. he gives your rotation the chance to be very good, especially for shorter stints in the playoffs.

as i said, i think it was/still is fair to question the Smyly signing, especially considering the timing. as more deals have come in, it looks more and more logical. and i'm certainly not upset about it because it may have prevented AA from signing Asdrubal Cabrera and instead forced him to sign Kipnis, or that Melancon signed elsewhere because of it. i think you can replace someone like Melancon for a fraction of his price. i'd rather take a gamble on a potentially big piece than worry about the edges of the roster. as important as i think strong depth is, i don't think Cabrera is some big get while Kipnis is garbage. i just don't think they'll be functionally THAT different.

I could argue that getting a dependable innings guy over an upside play at #5 spot would have been more advisable, but it is a swing and who is dependable anyway?
 
Gallo is losing value pretty quickly with his injury in 2019 and his poor offensive showing in 2020. Combined with his 2 years remaining control, they should jettison him by the trade deadline this year if they hope to get much value out of him. I guess they could simply resign him, but Texas really isn't close to competing in the AL West.

I don't want the aging version of someone that Ks 35% of the time. (I don't want any version honestly)
 
Hope springs eternal, but when I see "shoulder surgery," it makes me skeptical. I'm old, and in an earlier era, the rule-of-thumb was a player was through if it was an elbow injury, but they could recover from a shoulder injury. With advancements in Tommy John surgery, it seems it's the opposite now. I hope for the best.

I did something to my rotator cuff this year and then kept reaggravating it to where it got to be a problem.

I can't imagine trying to throw and torque everything like a MLB pitcher with a sore shoulder. Your shoulder is basically fighting you. Being a pitcher must hurt like a MFer.
 
Looks like they got 1 year at 20, 2 at 25, and 6 at 36m.

I guess they saved some arb exposure as well, but not sure what the point of that is other than Preller figures he won't see the end of that one anyway.

Those 25 million dollar years are probably 35-40 million dollar years what he reaches FA (assuming he maintains his elite level of play).
 
Yeah. The Gallo love has always been strange to me. One trick ponies don’t last very long in this league.

He also plays pretty terrific defense and provides value on the basepaths (the few times he gets on base). He's definitely a valuable player, though it would be super frustrating to watch him struggle to even hit .200.
 
Nothing against Mayfield as a human being, but I always thought putting him on the 40-man was a clown move.

I liked him as a Hechavarría replacement—less defense, but more power. I hope this move doesn't mean that Camargo is the backup SS.
 
He also plays pretty terrific defense and provides value on the basepaths (the few times he gets on base). He's definitely a valuable player, though it would be super frustrating to watch him struggle to even hit .200.

and while his OBP is bad due to the average, he walks a lot and therefore works counts.
 
I liked him as a Hechavarría replacement—less defense, but more power. I hope this move doesn't mean that Camargo is the backup SS.

We need a back-up SS and I don't think Camargo can fill that role, but there's nothing I can see in Mayfield's oeuvre that makes me think that he's a major league player. I think an argument can be made that Camargo (outside of one season when the ball was filled with helium) is a AAAA player. I see Mayfield as a AAA player.
 
We need a back-up SS and I don't think Camargo can fill that role, but there's nothing I can see in Mayfield's oeuvre that makes me think that he's a major league player. I think an argument can be made that Camargo (outside of one season when the ball was filled with helium) is a AAAA player. I see Mayfield as a AAA player.

If Camargo has another Camargo season with the addition of Chipper coaching him, it may be time to move on from him and use his money on someone more useful.
 
If Camargo has another Camargo season with the addition of Chipper coaching him, it may be time to move on from him and use his money on someone more useful.

Camargo projected an average-driven slap hitter with decent defensive tools when he first hit the big leagues. Then he hit 19 HRs and thought he was someone else. Almost anyone can have a season and then revert to what they really are as a player. He's gotten too big for SS, so it's legitimate to question whether he has any real value now.
 
If Camargo has another Camargo season with the addition of Chipper coaching him, it may be time to move on from him and use his money on someone more useful.

I think it’s time to move on from Camargo now and use his money on someone more useful.
 
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